ANALISIS HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA INVESTASI DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO PROVINSI MALUKU TAHUN 2002-2011

Deisirey J Sabono, Sri Kusreni

= http://dx.doi.org/10.20473/jeba.V23I22013.4525
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Abstract


This study investigates the relationship among investment and Product Domestic Regional Bruto, in Moluccas
periode 2002-2001. The relationship among that variables is very important, because Moluccas getting start to
optimize the growth economic arising out of crisis.
The analysis techniques used in this thesis is to use econometrics. In more detail, the technique used is the
Granger Causality to analyze causal relationships and Vector Autoregression (VAR) to analyze responses
caused by shock given two variables.
The results obtained indicate that there is no causal relationship between investment and GDP, GDP only
unidirectional relationship in which a significant effect on investment, and the investment has no significant
effect on GDP. Response that occurs in GDP due to shock given on investment is negative and opposite response
occurs due to a given shock on GDP is positive.
Keywords : Causality, Investment, GDP and Vector Autoregression (VAR).

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