Determinant of Indonesian Manufacturing Output

ECM real exchange rate rupiah/USD Inflation lend interest rate, FDI manufacturing sector output


July 31, 2018


The role of manufacture in Indonesia influence the economic growth. This research aims to observe and analyze influencing factors of manufacturing sector output in Indonesia. The research method used Error Correction Model (ECM) at period 2005 in 1stquartal – 2017 in 4thquartal. This research used secondary data from Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI) and Federal Reserves. The results of the study show that in long term estimation lend interest rate and inflation have negative and significant impact, whereas FDI has positive and significant impact towards manufacturing sector output. Otherwise, in short term estimation show that lend interest rate has negative and significant impact, while inflation and FDI have no significant impact towards manufacturing sector output.


Keywords: ECM, real exchange rate rupiah/USD, inflation, lend interest rate, FDI, manufacturing sector output

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