The Business Cycle as a Moderator of Financing for Financing Risk of Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia

ABSTRACT

Islamic banking is undoubtedly faced with several potential financing risks, with the three largest financing contracts (Mudharaba, Musharaka, and Murabaha) that reduce the financial performance of Islamic banks. The potential risk is strengthened if the stability of national economic growth is contracted. Therefore, this research aims to investigate the impact of Mudharaba, Musharaka, and Murabaha financing on Financing Risk moderated by the business cycle and the relationship between Financing Risk and the Financial Performance of Islamic Commercial Banks. The sample of this study was 12 Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia during the period 2017-2021. The Data were then analyzed using the technique of Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA). Researchers found that Musharaka financing has a significant positive effect on Financing Risk, Mudharaba and Murabaha Financing has an insignificant effect on Financing Risk, and Financing Risk has a significant negative effect on Financial Performance. The Business Cycle does not moderate the Financing of Mudharaba, Musharakah, and Murabaha on Financing Risk. The results can encourage the Islamic Commercial Bank to evaluate the distribution strategy of Musharaka financing, optimize the distribution of Mudharaba and Murabaha financing, and prepare financing strategies that do not depend on macroeconomic conditions.

Keywords: Financing Risk, Financing, Business Cycle, Financial Performance.

ABSTRAK

Perbankan syariah dengan tiga akad pembiayaan terbesar (Mudharaba, Musharaka, dan Murabaha) dihadapkan pada sejumlah potensi risiko pembiayaan yang menurunkan kinerja keuangan Bank Syariah. Potensi risiko tersebut menguat jika stabilitas pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional juga terganggu atau mengalami kontraksi. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini hendak mengkaji pengaruh Pembiayaan Mudharaba, Musharaka, dan Murabaha terhadap Risiko Pembayaran dengan dimoderasi oleh Siklus Bisnis, dan sekaligus menguji hubungan antara Risiko Pembayaran dan Kinerja Keuangan Bank Syariah. Sampel penelitian ini adalah 12 Islamic Commercial Bank di Indonesia selama periode 2017-2021. Data tersebut kemudian dianalisis dengan menggunakan teknik Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA). Peneliti menemukan bahwa Pembiayaan Musharaka berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Risiko Pembiayaan, Pembiayaan Mudharaba dan Murabaha tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Risiko Pembiayaan, dan Risiko Pembiayaan berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap Kinerja Keuangan. Adapun Siklus Bisnis tidak dapat memoderasi Pembiayaan Mudharaba, Musharaka, dan Murabaha terhadap Risiko Pembiayaan. Hasil penelitian ini dapat menjadi evaluasi bagi Islamic Commercial Bank agar dapat mengevaluasi strategi penyaluran pembiayaan Musharaka, mengoptimalkan penyaluran pembiayaan Mudharaba dan Murabaha, dan mempersiapkan strategi pembiayaan yang tidak bergantung pada kondisi makro ekonomi.

Kata Kunci: Risiko Pembiayaan, Pembiayaan, Siklus Bisnis, Kinerja Keuangan.

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