Islamic Capital Market Integration in 5 ASEAN Countries in the Covid-19 Era

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to analyze the short-term and long-term relationship between the Islamic capital markets of 5 selected countries in the Covid-19 era. This study used a quantitative approach using weekly secondary data from January 2020 to December 2022. The data analysis model used Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis. The results of this study show that in the short term, variants in the capital market will change due to shocks in other ASEAN Islamic capital markets, but short-term deviations in the Islamic capital market will adjust in the long term. meanwhile, in the long run, Islamic capital markets in ASEAN countries that were tested, have integrated despite the occurrence of a health crisis that also has an impact on the financial crisis. This provides an opportunity for investors to mitigate risks and increase profit margins, especially in Islamic stock exchanges in ASEAN countries. On the other hand, this research allows investors to reformulate a more diversified portfolio after the Covid-19 pandemic.

Keywords: Integration, Islamic Capital Market, ASEAN, Covid 19

ABSTRAK

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis hubungan jangka pendek dan jangka panjang antara pasar modal syariah 5 negara terpilih di era Covid-19. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan menggunakan data sekunder mingguan januari 2020 sampai dengan desember 2022. Model analisis data menggunakan analisis Vector Auto Regression (VAR). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek, varian di pasar modal akan berubah karena guncangan di pasar modal syariah ASEAN lainnya, namun penyimpangan jangka pendek di pasar modal syariah akan menyesuaikan dalam jangka panjang. sementara dalam jangka panjang, pasar modal syariah di negara-negara ASEAN yang teruji, memiliki integrasi meskipun terjadi krisis kesehatan yang juga berdampak pada krisis keuangan. Hal ini memberikan suatu kesempatan bagi para investor untuk memitigasi risiko dan memperbesar margin keuntungan terutama di bursa saham syariah negara ASEAN. Disisi lain, dengan adanya penelitian ini memungkinkan membantu para investor untuk merumuskan kembali portofolio yang lebih terdiversifikasi setelah terjadinya pandemi covid-19.

Kata Kunci: Integrasi, Pasar Modal Syariah, ASEAN, Covid 19

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