A Comparative Analysis of the Determinants of Inflation in Indonesia and Singapore

Economic inflation Monetary Policy Macroeconomics

Authors

  • Alifa Nurma Maulidya
    alifamy393@gmail.com
    Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Makassar, Indonesia
  • Abd Rahim Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Makassar, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1720-7150
  • Sri Astuty Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Makassar, Indonesia
  • Basri Bado Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Makassar, Indonesia
  • Diah Retno Dwi Hastuti Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Makassar, Indonesia
October 15, 2025

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This study aims to analyze the factors affecting inflation in Indonesia and Singapore in the period 2000-2023 using a comparative approach. A quantitative approach was used, employing time series data from the World Bank, BPS (Statistics of Indonesia), and the Singapore Department of Statistics. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression to determine the effect of independent variables (quantity of money, interest rate, exchange rate, and economic growth) and dependent variables (inflation) simultaneously and partially. The results of this study show that independent variables have a simultaneous effect on dependent variables in Indonesia, while in Singapore, they do not. Meanwhile, in part, the quantity of money has a significant negative effect on inflation in Indonesia. Meanwhile, in part, the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on inflation in Singapore. A comparison of the coefficients and adj. R² values reveal a higher level of sensitivity of inflation to quantitative monetary policy in Indonesia, while Singapore shows inflation resilience through a policy framework centered on exchange rates. These results confirm the differences in the structure and effectiveness of monetary policy, as well as their implications for the formulation of price stabilization strategies in both countries.