AHP – SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING: PEMILIHAN DISTRIBUTOR TERHADAP DAMPAK PERMINTAAN PRODUK KOPI
Unduhan
Tujuan penelitian ini untuk menilai kinerja penyuplai berdasarkan metode AHP pada tingkat bobot tertinggi, tingkat konsistensi kinerja penyuplai berdasarkan nilai konsistensi terkecil dan meprediksi permintaan pada bulan April 2022 dengan nilai terpilih di konversi dalam model kilogram. Metodologi penelitian ialah kuantitatif integrasi AHP- Single Exponential Smoothing. Data penelitian ini yaitu data primer mencangkup AHP angket, data sekunder mencangkup data permintaan aktual. Penelitian ini menyatakan bahwa kinerja penyuplai mencangkup Quality, Cost dan Delivery dengan konsistensi dengan kriteria terkecil yaitu Delivery, Quality dan Flexybility. Sedangkan prediksi permintaan dengan kapasitas 1336 cangkir kopi arabika dikonversi menghasikan kapasitas biji kopi arabika sebesar 27 kg pada bulan April 2022
Ahmad, Ipov, Amelia, M, D., A, K., R, G., & Edward. (2022). Penggunaan Metode Fuzzy Ahp Dan Topsis Pada Pemilihan Supplier (Studi Kasus: PT. SS). Seminar Nasional Ke- IV Universitas Tarumanegara, 437–444.
Alfian Pradana, J., Komari, A., & Dewi Indrasari, L. (2020). Studi Kelayakan Bisnis Tell Kopi Dengan Analisis Finansial. Industri Inovatif : Jurnal Teknik Industri. https://doi.org/10.36040/industri.v10i2.2855
Amelia, Nurviana, Muliani, F., & Nuri, B. (2019). Forecasting Annual Coffee and Rubber Production in Aceh Using Exponential Smoothing. Regular Proceeding 3rd ISIMMED, 3–10.
Baroto, T., & Utama, D. M. (2020). Integrasi AHP dan SAW untuk Penyelesaian Green Supplier Selection. SENTRA: Seminar Nasional Teknologi Dan Rekayasa, 38–44. http://research-report.umm.ac.id/index.php/sentra/article/view/3895
BPSStatistik. (2017). Statistik Kopi Indonesia. In BPSStatistik-Indonesia (Ed.), BPSStatistik (2nd ed.). BPSStatistik.
Deina, C., do Amaral Prates, M. H., Alves, C. H. R., Martins, M. S. R., Trojan, F., Stevan, S. L., & Siqueira, H. V. (2021). A methodology for coffee price forecasting based on extreme learning machines. Information Processing in Agriculture, xxxx. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inpa.2021.07.003
Desha Aguslian Bermano, R., & Gustian, D. (2021). Sistem Pendukung Keputusan Pemilihan Supplier Di Tentera Coffee Corp Dengan Menggunakan Metode Analytical Hierarchy Process. Jurnal Rekayasa Teknologi Nusa Putra, 5(1), 13–21. https://doi.org/10.52005/rekayasa.v5i1.97
Duong, L. N. K., Wood, L. C., & Wang, W. Y. C. (2018). Effects of consumer demand, product lifetime, and substitution ratio on perishable inventory management. Sustainability (Switzerland), 10(5). https://doi.org/10.3390/su10051559
Edelmann, H., Quiñones-Ruiz, X. F., & Penker, M. (2022). How close do you like your coffee? - Examining proximity and its effects in relationship coffee models. Journal of Rural Studies, 91(January), 24–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.02.007
Endra, R. Y., & Laurina, O. (2021). Aplikasi Prediksi Penjualan Kopi dengan Metode Single Exponential Smoothing untuk Mengetahui Produk Kopi Terlaris. EXPERT: Jurnal Manajemen Sistem Informasi Dan Teknologi, 11(2), 129. https://doi.org/10.36448/expert.v11i2.2212
Fauzi, E., Putra, W. E., Ishak, A., & Astuti, H. B. (2020). Pendugaan Model Peramalan Harga Ekspor Kopi Indonesia. AGRITEPA: Jurnal Ilmu Dan Teknologi Pertanian, 7(1), 22–30. https://doi.org/10.37676/agritepa.v7i1.1002
Harijanto, B., Ekojono, & Iqbal, M. M. (2020). Pengembangan Sistem Peramalan Produksi Kopi Menggunakan Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing (Studi Kasus Pabrik Kopi Duoningrat). Seminar Informatika Aplikatif Polinema, 2020.
Indrasari, L. D. (2020). Penerapan Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) dalam Perhitungan Jumlah Permintaan Air Mineral Pada PT. Akasha Wira International. JATI UNIK: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Dan Manajemen Industri, 3(2), 87–98.
Jawak, J. B. W., & Sinaga, C. J. S. (2020). Aplikasi Analytical Hierarchy Process (Ahp) Dalam Memilih Pemasok Pada Ksu Pom Humbang Cooperative. Jurnal Sains Dan Teknologi: Jurnal Keilmuan Dan Aplikasi Teknologi Industri, 19(2), 123. https://doi.org/10.36275/stsp.v19i2.207
Mario, M., Nurhafidzh, D., & Koesdiningsih, N. (2018). Analisis Pemilihan Pemasok Menggunakan Metode Analytical Hierarchy Process ( AHP ) untuk Pengambilan Keputusan Pemilihan Pemasok ( Studi Kasus pada Kopi Arjuna di Desa Cibodas Lembang Jawa Barat ) Supplier Selection Analysis Using Analytical Hierarchy Pro. Prosiding Manajemen, 904–916.
Nguyen, N. B. T., Lin, G. H., & Dang, T. T. (2021). A two phase integrated fuzzy decision-making framework for green supplier selection in the coffee bean supply chain. Mathematics, 9(16), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9161923
Novanda, R. R., Sumartono, E., Asriani, P. S., Yuliarti, E., Sukiyono, K., Priyono, B. S., Irnad, I., Reswita, R., Suryanty, M., & Octalia, V. (2018). A Comparison of Various Forecasting Techniques for Coffee Prices. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1114(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1114/1/012119
Onainor, E. R. (2019). Sistem Pendukung Keputusan Berbasis Metode Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) Dalam Pemilihan Biji Kopi Berkualitas. Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science (INTECOMS), 4, 105–112.
Rincón, R. D., Palacios, W., & Paipa, H. O. (2020). Comparison of statistical forecasting techniques for Colombian coffee demand in South Korea. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1448(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1448/1/012023
Saputra, A. F., & Novita, I. (2021). Sistem Penunjang Keputusan Penentuan Supplier Terbaik Dengan Metode Analytical Hierarcy Process (Ahp) Dan Simple Additive Weighting (Saw) Pada Xy Coffee and Roastery. IDEALIS : InDonEsiA JournaL Information System, 4(2), 205–214. https://doi.org/10.36080/idealis.v4i2.2850
Siregar, E., Nazir, N., & Asben, A. (2019). The Analysis of Strategic Partnership to Supply Mandailing Arabica Coffee for Export Quality Markets. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 347(1), 012046. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/347/1/012046
Sungkawa, I., & Megasari, R. T. (2011). Penerapan Ukuran Ketepatan Nilai Ramalan Data Deret Waktu dalam Seleksi Model Peramalan Volume Penjualan PT Satriamandiri Citramulia. ComTech: Computer, Mathematics and Engineering Applications. https://doi.org/10.21512/comtech.v2i2.2813
Tirkolaee, E. B., Dashtian, Z., Weber, G. W., Tomaskova, H., Soltani, M., & Mousavi, N. S. (2021). An integrated decision-making approach for green supplier selection in an agri-food supply chain: Threshold of robustness worthiness. Mathematics, 9(11), 1–30. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9111304
Zhu, X., Zhang, F., Deng, M., Liu, J., He, Z., Zhang, W., & Gu, X. (2022). Exponential Smoothing and ELM to Predict Multi-Factor Landslide Displacement. Remote Sensing, 14(3384), 1–20.
Artikel ini berlisensiCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
1. Copyright of this journal is possession of Editorial Board and Journal Manager, by the knowledge of author, whilst the moral right of the publication belongs to the author.
2. Legal formal aspect of journal publication accessibility refers to Creative Commons Atribusi-Non Commercial-No ShareAlike (CC BY-NC-SA),implies that publication can be used for non-commercial purposes in its original form (cannot be modified).
3. Every publications are open access for educational purposes, research, and library. Other that the aims mentioned above, editorial board is not responsible for copyright violation.
AJIM by Unair is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
